Bayesian reanalysis of ASTER
# https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jama/fullarticle/2819082 Use pymc3 pystan for a bayesian reanalysis with weakly informative cauchy gaussian prior mean and half-cauchy gaussian sd with a smaller scale, 95% hdi, posterior probability of the effect being more than 0, and a sensitivity analysis with different scales, and run it without showing the code: Of 447 patients enrolled, 227 were randomized to acetaminophen and 220 to placebo. Days alive and free of organ support to day 28 were not meaningfully different for acetaminophen (20.2 days; 95% CI, 18.8 to 21.6) vs placebo (19.6 days; 95% CI, 18.2 to 21.0; P = .56; difference, 0.6; 95% CI, −1.4 to 2.6).
OR 1.78 (95% CI, 0.98-3.22). Use pystan for a bayesian reanalysis of rct with weakly informative prior mean and sd, 95% hdi, posterior probability of the effect being more than 1, and a sensitivity analysis with different scales, and run it without showing the code
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